Current vote share w/ Rotherham left to declare (South Yorks PCC):
LAB – 52.3%
UKIP – 28.9%< CON - 12.9% EDEM - 5.8% No turnout stated so that indicates it was embarrassingly low. EDEM factor can be seen in the votes. What can one conclude? # As many interviewed said, it's a non-position, one which should never have been. # It is true Labour heartland, where the tribalists dwell, those low of brow. # There's almost a perfect logic working here. The Rotherham 1400 matter not to the locals and that's why it actually happened. The place is full of Shonas [see a previous post or the Wail] and that's why we, outside Labour heartlands, are shocked by things like child abuse but they're clearly inured or oblivious. # There was deep resentment of UKIP's poster tactic - no community wishes to be reminded of its crimes. Sheffield in particular, with its corrupt Common Purpose council, is a good indicator of the area. Lessons Labour: You can always count on the deadheads. Tory: Never in the hunt here, not really an issue. UKIP: Yes, there are lessons in how to treat Labour tribalists if it hopes to pick up votes from them. UKIP will need to analyze this carefully. Obviously not a wipeout and remember the result is across the whole of South Yorks but a bit ambitious of the rank and file who thought UKIP could take this non-position. The party HQ were always quiet on it, though Mark Reckless lent support - er Mark, that works in Rochester and Strood but you're too Tory looking for this place. Methinks UKIP need to be - and probably are at HQ, despite Nigel's rhetoric - circumspect and thankful for the 8 or so seats which might come next year. It also seems they'll be vastly outnumbered by the SNP who will be the true balance of power. This is not a matter for alarm, just for quiet reflection, as Douglas Carswell does.