The repercussions for the UK of a no-deal Brexit could be similar to the national emergency faced by Iceland during the volcanic eruptions in 2010 that brought parts of the country to a standstill, according to advice being given to civil servants.
*checks map* Well, it’s still here. Can’t have been that bad…
The impact on Iceland from the volcanic ash clouds in 2010 is regarded as a useful example of the kind of escalating disruption that could face the UK this spring, according to those who have attended the closed seminars.
Staff have been told to look at the example of the eruptions from Eyjafjallajökull because they caused extensive disruption within Iceland that then reverberated across Europe.
Give us a ‘for instance’, then. One that’s not ‘disruption to air travel’, because an idiot with a drone can do that!.
In particular, air travel was thrown into turmoil, with hundreds of thousands of people left stranded by cancelled flights.
But the potential disruption to the UK from Brexit is likely to be much broader, according to the government’s private planning assumptions.
The government has a running list of “reasonable worst-case scenarios”, which is constantly being amended and updated. Earlier this month it included a gamut of serious concerns.
Oooh, this’ll be good! Let me get my popcorn.
According to an internal document seen by the Guardian, these included:
- A reduction in certain fresh foods and increases in prices, with people on low incomes disproportionately affected.
Like the ones we get periodically when the weather’s too hot/cold/dry/wet?
- Price rises across utilities and services including fuel.
Private companies “cashing in” because they will put commercial considerations first.
Like we get every year?
- Police forces being stretched by the likelihood of protests and counter-protests, along with an increase in public disorder.
Like we get every year?
- Restocking of medicines becoming problematic after the first six weeks.
We already have this, and we haven’t left yet.
- Disruption of supplies to vets, which could “impact the UK’s ability to prevent and control disease outbreaks” among animals.
- A significant reduction in the flow of goods through Dover and Eurotunnel to as low as 13% of current capacity on the day of Brexit.
Boo hoo hooo!
Another scenario is that the UK and EU will not have secured a data protection agreement before Brexit, which could prevent police from having instant access to information held by European forces on EU citizens arrested in the UK.
*shrugs* Is that all?
Full speed ahead for Brexit, and damn the scaremongering!