Our very world is ruled by only one thing: Statistics.

When HMRC receive the statistics regarding P.A.Y.E. tax take, V.A.T., Corporation Tax for any quarter of any year, they check backwards, and very soon will be able to see the health of the economy. Politicians base their plans upon how much cash they reckon they can gouge out of the public purse, along with how much they can borrow; on the numbers provided by the Treasury, and then sit, crossing their fingers that nothing upsets the financial applecart. But there is one thing in which they must believe, implicitly. They must know that they have reliable figures in front of them.

 

As with cash, so with other statistic listings, and the one I wish to have you cast your eyes and minds across is a set of figures extracted from Worldometer’s spreadsheets, and I think most of us would state that they can be trusted. But truly trusted? Again, we have to accept that if the Worldometer figures can be relied upon, again comes a caveat: who supplies the bean counters with the raw data upon which they must rely upon? The answer is fairly obvious; the Governments, or rather the bean counters who work  for those nations’ governments.

 

So then we must ask ourselves, which are the more trustworthy numbers, the Nations with a long history of rectitude, honesty and reliability: as well as a reputation for unbending attitudes to the truth?

 

Most of the Western world’s figures can be relied upon, mainly because with regiments of investigative reporters sniffing at  their very heels, very few Western politicians would veer from the straight and narrow; for fear of reading the headline splashes the very next  day. We see our own Parliament where a politician may spray numbers around like confetti, but woe betide him or her if one of those confetti-like numbers was based upon incorrect statistics. Which is as it should be, because what is said in the House can end up being part of an Act of Parliament; and we all know what can happen when an Act is badly drafted. (See Dangerous Dogs Act) 

 

Let us now turn to the small set of statistics extracted from Worldometers’ pages which look at, in the greatest detail the deaths from Covid-19. We should look at the three sets of numbers, look again at the four nations which contributed those figures: and then ask ourselves, the question: “Do they make sense?” As I stated earlier; which set of figures arte to be taken as read, and which should not be looked at before buying a fresh carton of Saxa salt?

 

 

Nation Population Number Virus Cases Dead
USA 331,000,000 2,100,000 116,000
Brazil 212,000,000 829,000 41,900
UK 67,880,000 292,000 41,481
CHINA 1,439,000,000 83,000 4,634

 

I reckon that the USA and the UK can both be implicitly trusted to be as frank as they can be. Even his harshest critics would baulk before accusing America’s President of being less than honest about a set of statistics which discussed America’s dead: spin, possibly, but lying? Nope! The same can well be said of the crowd in No. Ten, Downing Street. Matt Hancock must be rueing the day he promised 100,000 tests available, never mind actually carried out. So, honest? Again, the possibilities of ‘spin’ can creep in, but when you are placing yourself in the firing line of a British Press Conference, every day of the week; your sources and numbers will not only be double-checked, the checkers themselves will have backups, and they had better agree!

 

Brazil? Well there is the Latin-American temperament to allow for, plus the evidence that the President still doesn’t really believe, despite all facts at his fingertips, that his Nation still has one hell of a struggle on its hands. Let’s be generous and say that, within a margin of error, the deaths, as registered are correct.

 

But then we come to CHINA, the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Does it make any sense, when the U.S.A.’ deaths, for a population total of 330 millions, are given as 116,000?  And the numbers for PRC? For a population of 1.4 BILLION, they acknowledge a total of 4,634! The spin coming out of Beijing, on anything to do with the Virus, has always been impressive.

 

As thinking human beings, we always have an inclination to take the old adage about “If it walks, quacks and looks like a duck, the odds are that it is  a duck” being applicable to most situations. If America, possibly the most advanced Nation in the world, even from a slow and staggered start, can organise a response to the deadly Covid-19 with a high but manageable total of 116,000 deaths: how is it that China, with a population five times as large as the USA; comes out with 4,634 deaths: in other words or numbers: China deaths equal 3.99% of America’s.

 

Sorry, folks, but I reckon China has been lying through their collective teeth.They  may have just incinerated the bodies, or fiddled with the Crematorium numbers: but 3.99%? In CHINA?

7 comments for “Our very world is ruled by only one thing: Statistics.

  1. Mudplugger
    June 13, 2020 at 5:45 pm

    As they say of some ‘democracies’, it’s not who votes that count, it’s who counts the votes.

    There are two types of statistics, those you look up and those you make up.

    76% of statistics are made up.

  2. Andy5759
    June 14, 2020 at 3:08 am

    The one thing we must learn from this is that the strategy of welding people into their homes works. Politely asking folk to stay at home, save lives and protect the NHS obviously doesn’t work. We need to be forced into compliance, it’s the only way to save lives. While we’re at it we can save the planet, power supplies can be cut off, precious water too. Nobody is driving around. Utopia beckons, I see the bright sunlit uplands of the future before me. One thing remains, how to get rid of Trump, Brexit, white males and Basil Fawlty. I’m sure they’re working on that.

  3. James Strong
    June 14, 2020 at 7:34 am

    The numbers that are published only tell part of the story.

    We have no idea how many people have had the Covid19 virus.

    People are told not to contact the doctor unless symptoms are very serious.

    We don’t know if 10,000, 100,000, 1,000,00, or 10,000,000 UK residents have had it and recovered.

    Two of my neighbours think they’ve had it. One was in bed for a week, the other felt just a bit off colour for 2 days, but was still functioning. But we don’t know if it was Covid.

    I know someone who had a 2 week hit of what was described as a virus in late January/early February. Was it Covid 19? Nobody knows.

  4. Stonyground
    June 14, 2020 at 7:53 am

    Just prior to the lockdown my daughter returned from a trip to London. Her and wife promptly went down with a relatively mild flu type bug, temperature, feeling rough, no coughing. I have had a flu jab and didn’t get it which suggests that it might be last year’s virus.

  5. June 14, 2020 at 11:08 am

    Trust the American figures? Really. A chap who recovered in a hospital got a bill for 1.1 million bucks. Hospitals are getting small fortunes in federal funds for covid infected patients: much more than those declared not to have it. Hmmmmm. Now what would an administrator in a ‘for-profit’ hospital do? Undertakers are being instructed to classify the cause of death of their dead clientele as ‘covid’ without any test being done at all.

    The US figures are corrupted by croney capitalism just as China’s are by croney communism.

    As for Britain, double counting of tests has messed up even the most generous person’s trust in the numbers.

    Lies, damned lies and statistics. (I didn’t come up with that truism). Follow the money. (Not mine either). Trust a communist gummermunt to tell the truth? The Party IS the truth.

  6. Voice of Reason
    June 14, 2020 at 11:08 pm

    The US may have reported the Statistics correctly as they were given them by the individual states.

    However, many states have fudged their numbers. Florida is one such: https://www.sun-sentinel.com/opinion/editorials/fl-op-edit-coronavirus-florida-website-20200520-y5hqd7z5znfphan5ig2ehlh7mi-story.html

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